A fundamental role in probability theory is played by the functions
\begin{align} \phi(x) & =\frac{1}{\sqrt{2 \pi}} e^{-\frac{x^{2}}{2}} \tag{6.1} \\ \Phi(x) & =\int_{-\infty}^{x} \phi(y) d y=\frac{1}{\sqrt{2 \pi}} \int_{-\infty}^{x} e^{-\frac{y^{2}}{2}} dy. \tag{6.2} \end{align}
Because of their close relation to normal probability laws
so that
The importance of the function
phenomenon whose probability law is specified by the probability density function
\begin{align} F(x) & =\frac{1}{\sqrt{2 \pi} \sigma} \int_{-\infty}^{x} e^{-\frac{1}{2}\left(\frac{y-m}{\sigma}\right)^{2}} d y \tag{6.6} \\ & =\frac{1}{\sqrt{2 \pi}} \int_{-\infty}^{(x-m) / \sigma} e^{-\frac{y^{2}}{2}} d y=\Phi\left(\frac{x-m}{\sigma}\right) \end{align}
Consequently, if
Example 6A . “Grading on the curve”. The properties of the normal distribution function provide the basis for the system of “grading on the curve” used in assigning final grades in large courses in American universities. Under this system, the letters
Therefore, if one assigns the letter
The following example illustrates the use of (6.7) in solving problems involving random phenomena obeying normal probability laws.
Example 6B . Consider a random phenomenon obeying the normal probability law with parameters
the probability that an observed value
The conditional probability that an observed value
Theoretical Exercises
6.1 . One of the properties of the normal density functions which make them convenient to work with mathematically is the following identity. Verify algebraically that for any real numbers
where
6.2 . Although it is not possible to obtain an explicit formula for the normal distribution function
Hint: Use the fact that
Exercises
6.1 . Let
Find
Answer
| 0.05 | 0.10 | 0.50 | 0.90 | 0.95 | 0.99 | |
| 1.645 | 1.282 | 0.000 | -1.282 | -1.645 | -2.326 | |
| 0.063 | 0.126 | 0.675 | 1.645 | 1.960 | 2.576 | |
| 3.290 | 2.564 | 0.000 | -2.564 | -3.290 | -4.652 | |
| 0.126 | 0.252 | 1.350 | 3.290 | 3.920 | 5.152 |
6.2 . Suppose that the life in hours of a electronic tube manufactured by a certain process is normally distributed with parameters
6.3 . Assume that the height in centimeters of a man aged 21 is a random phenomenon obeying a normal probability law with parameters
Answer
6.4 . A shirt manufacturer determines by observation that the circumference of the neck of a college man is a random phenomenon approximately obeying a normal probability law with parameters
6.5 . A machine produces bolts in a length (in inches) found to obey a normal probability law with parameters
(i) What is the probability that a bolt produced by this machine will be defective?
(ii) If the machine were adjusted so that the length of bolts produced by it is normally distributed with parameters
Answer
(i), (ii) 0.2866; (iii) 0.0456.
6.6 . Let
Tabulate
6.7 . Tabulate
Answer