A basic tool for the construction of sample description spaces of random phenomena is provided by the notion of an
A basic random phenomenon with whose analysis we are concerned in probability theory is that of sampling . Suppose we have an urn containing
The drawing is said to be done with replacement , and the sample is said to be drawn with replacement, if after each draw the number of the ball drawn is recorded, but the ball itself is returned to the urn. The drawing is said to be done without replacement, and the sample is said to be drawn without replacement, if the ball drawn is not returned to the urn after each draw, so that the number of balls available in the urn for the
To report the result of drawing a sample of size
Example 1A . All possible samples of size 3 from an urn containing four balls . Let us consider an urn which contains four balls, numbered 1 to 4, and let a sample of size 3 be drawn. If the sampling is done without replacement, then the possible samples that can be drawn are
If the sampling is done with replacement, then the possible samples that can be drawn are
As indicated in section 7 of Chapter 1 , many probability problems defined on finite sample description spaces may be reduced to problems of counting. Consequently, it is useful to know the basic principles of combinatorial analysis by which the size of sets of
Suppose there is a set
As a first application of this basic principle, suppose that we have
Example 1B . A man has five suits, three pairs of shoes, and two hats. How many different combinations of attire can he wear?
Solution
A combination of attire is a 3-tuple
We next apply the basic principle of combinatorial analysis to determine the number of samples of size
The number of ways in which one can draw a sample of
To show the first of these statements, note that there are
Various notations have been adopted to denote the product
Another notation with which the reader should be familiar is that of the factorial. Given any positive integer
In order that (1.4) may hold for
In order that (1.4) may hold for
Example 1C .
An important application of the foregoing relations is to the problem of finding the number of subsets of a set . Consider the set
To see this, regard each subset of
We now introduce some notation. We define, for any integer
Equation (1.7) may be restated as follows: the number of subsets of size
Example 1D . The subsets of size 3 of a set of size 4. Consider the set
The quantities
It is convenient to extend the definitions of
We next note the extremely useful relation, holding for
This relation may be verified directly from the definition of binomial coefficients. An intuitive justification of (1.11) can be obtained. Given a set
Equation (1.11) is the algebraic expression of a fact represented in tabular form by Pascal’s triangle:
One also notices in Pascal’s triangle that the entries on each line are symmetric about the middle entry (or entries). More precisely, the binomial coefficients have the property that for any positive integer
It should be noted that with (1.11) and the aid of the principle of mathematical induction one may prove the binomial theorem.
The mathematical facts are now at hand to determine how many subsets of a set of size
From (1.13) it follows that the number of events (including the impossible event) that can be formed on a sample description space of size
Another counting problem whose solution we shall need is that of finding the number of partitions of a set of size
Example 1E . Partitions of a set of size 4 . The possible partitions of the set
We now prove that the number of ways in which one can partition a set of size
To prove (1.14) we proceed as follows. For the first subset of
The expression (1.14) may be written in a more convenient form. It is clear by use of the definition of
Continuing in this manner, one finds that (1.14) is equal to
Quantities of the form of (1.16) arise frequently, and a special notation is introduced to denote them. For any integer
The multinomial coefficients derive their name from the fact that they are the coefficients in the expansion of the
It should be noted that the summation in (1.18) is over all nonnegative integers
Example 1F . Bridge hands . The number of different hands a player in a bridge game can obtain is
The symbol
Exercises
1.1 . A restaurant menu lists 3 soups, 10 meat dishes, 5 desserts, and 3 beverages. In how many ways can a meal (consisting of soup, meat dish, dessert, and beverage) be ordered?
Answer
1.2 . Find the value of (i)
1.3 . How many subsets of size 3 does a set of size 5 possess? How many subsets does a set of size 5 possess?
Answer
1.4 . In how many ways can a bridge deck be partitioned into 4 hands, each of size 13?
Answer
1.5 . Five politicians meet at a party. How many handshakes are exchanged if each politician shakes hands with every other politician once and only once?
Answer
(i)
1.6 . Consider a college professor who every year tells exactly 3 jokes in his course. If it is his policy never to tell the same 3 jokes in any year that he has told in any other year, what is the minimum number of jokes he will tell in 35 years? If it is his policy never to tell the same joke twice, what is the minimum number of jokes he will tell in 35 years?
1.7 . In how many ways can a student answer an 8-question, true-false examination if (i) he marks half the questions true and half the questions false, (ii) he marks no two consecutive answers the same?
Answer
(i)
1.8 . State, by inspection, the value of
1.9 . If
Answer
1.10 . Find the value of (i)
1.11 . Evaluate the following sums:
Answer
1.12 . Given an alphabet of
1.13 . Find the number of 3-letter words that can be formed in the English language whose first and third letters are consonants and whose middle letter is a vowel.
Answer
1.14 . Use (1.11) and the principle of mathematical induction to prove the binomial theorem, which is stated by (1.9) .
- The number
exists if the number of possible second components that may occur in an -tuple, of which the first component is known, does not depend on which first component has occurred. ↩︎